Readers of this blog know of my advocacy of nuclear power—in particular fission power. Fission power still faces several hurdles including those of financing and long-term storage of spent fuel. On more than one occasion I have been asked if instead of pushing forward with fission power we should wait for fusion power, which is making substantial advances. Indeed, the past few years have brought exciting breakthroughs in fusion energy. In this post, I will review these advances and summarize the remaining technical challenges. Those interested in a more thorough discussion may want to refer to this ADL report.
First though, a brief recap of the physics of fusion processes. Light nuclei have less binding energy per nucleon than mid-sized nuclei (like helium or iron). When small nuclei fuse, some mass is converted into energy via Einstein’s equation, E=mc2, releasing vast amounts of energy Nuclear fusion is the process where two light atomic nuclei (typically isotopes of hydrogen, like deuterium (D) and tritium (T)) combine to form a heavier nucleus (like helium), releasing tremendous amounts of energy in the process.
D+T→4He + n
What makes the process difficult to achieve is that the atoms must be brought very close to each other. Normally, the repulsive coulombic forces exerted by negatively charged electron clouds surrounding the nucleus prevent atoms from getting closer than a few picometers (10-12 m). The strong nuclear forces which hold the protons and neutrons together become operative at very close distances, femtometer (10-15 m) scale. If the atoms are heated to very high temperatures, millions of degrees, the electrons are stripped away from the nuclei producing a plasma—essentially, ionized gas. At these high temperatures, the nuclei have sufficient kinetic energy to overcome the even higher repulsion as they approach each other closer and the collide to produce fusion. This is the process that powers the sun and stars.
On earth, this was first achieved by raising the temperature of fuel hydrogen to millions of degrees from the heat of a plutonium bomb to trigger the fusion of hydrogen. Although we can release energy of fusion in the H-bomb, releasing fusion energy in a controlled manner for producing power would require confining and sustaining a plasma while continuously feeding in fuel and extracting the released energy.
Two main approaches of confining plasma are (a) magnetic and (b) inertial. The former uses magnetic coils (Tokomak and Stellerator) arranged in a donut shape to steer the plasma away from the walls and circulating within it at a high speed. Using several different heating techniques such as ohmic, RF heating, or injecting neutral particles, the plasma is heated to 100 million degrees (Kelvin) to achieve fusion. For reference, the temperature in the core of the sun is around 15 million K. The magnets keep the plasma away from the walls of the containing vessel. Inertial confinement relies on instantly heating a pellet of fuel gases with multiple lasers.
The National Ignition Facility (NIF) uses the inertial confinement approach. It dumped 2.05 MJ of energy from 192 lasers firing simultaneously on a gold cylinder containing D and T to achieve fusion. The experiment produced in 3.15 MJ demonstrating a major scientific breakthrough—a net energy gain with Q = 1.5. This announcement unleashed a frenzy of activity to develop fusion power. Private companies like Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) are racing ahead, with SPARC—a compact, high-field tokamak—set to demonstrate net energy gain by 2027. Meanwhile, Helion Energy signed a power purchase agreement with Microsoft, betting on fusion-powered electricity by 2028.
Achieving Q > 1, is a remarkable feat! The NIF reported getting 50% more energy than dumped into the fuel pellet by the lasers. For steady power generation, the desired value of Q should be 50 or more. Further, this calculation does not include the 500 MJ of electricity that went into powering the lasers. Overall process is far from being energy neutral, let alone a power producer. Among the many remaining challenges is figuring out the process for replacing the fuel-filled cylinders one after another in the precise location and be able to fire the lasers at repeatedly. At present there is no pathway for this approach to be used for power production.
Magnetic confinement approach offers pathways for continuous fuel feeding and energy extraction, but it has yet to demonstrate net energy gain. Another issue that will need addressing is the supply of tritium. Tritium is an unstable isotope with a half-life of 12 years. There are no deposits of tritium that can be mined or extracted; it must be produced prior to use either by neutron activation of 6Li or in nuclear reactors that use heavy water as a moderator. Most of these processes are accompanied by the release of fast-moving neutrons that cannot be confined by magnetic fields, and they can damage the containing vessel. There is another scheme for fusion that relies on a stable isotope of boron, 11B, for fuel and (TAE Technologies) and does not involve release of fast-moving neutrons. It involves bombarding boron nuclei with protons and the fusion process results in three alpha particles:
11B +p→ 3 4He
The higher nuclear charge of boron (six protons) means that the incoming proton has a substantially higher barrier of coulombic repulsion before fusion can occur. The required temperature for this process is a billion degrees!
Despite recent progress, commercial fusion remains decades away. Even optimistic forecasts place the first grid-scale plants in the 2040s. The engineering hurdles—plasma confinement, tritium breeding, and material durability—are immense. So, while we chase the "holy grail" of fusion, we can’t afford to ignore the proven, low-carbon power source we already have, namely nuclear fission. Modern reactors are safer, more efficient, and essential for decarbonization. Countries like France show how fission can deliver 70% of electricity with near-zero emissions. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) with lower startup costs offer faster deployment and flexibility. With the World Bank now reversing its policy against financing nuclear power project there is a real opportunity to rapidly expand global nuclear power generation.